VIETNAM PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRY

Petrochemicals and oil refining are two areas in the oil and gas processing industry. These two areas are two consecutive and intertwined phases of the entire oil and gas processing industry. Petrochemical is a heavy industry that plays an important role in the development of many countries around the world, providing a great source of raw materials for many other industries such as plastics, garments, chemicals, etc.

Petrochemical inputs are products of the oil and gas industry, namely products of refineries and natural gas processing plants such as naphtha, ethane, propane and LPG. Petrochemical products include primary products such as ethylene, propyl naphthalene, butadiene, benzene, xylene, toluene, methanol … and secondary products such as polyethylene, polypropylene, LDPE, etc. 

In the period 2012-2022, global production of primary petrochemical products is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 4.29%. In 2017, primary production volume of petrochemical products will reach around xxx.x million tons. In 2016, the total output of polymer on the world market will be about 335 million tons, the annual growth rate will be 5.2% in the period 2010 – 2016. Demand for petrochemical products is on the upward trend. 

In general, in 2017, according to the Platts Global Petrochemical Index (PGPI), petrochemical prices rose slightly between January and March, then fell from April to July and rebounded from August to the end of the year. In the first quarter of 2018, PGPI is cooling down due to the impact of crude oil prices. At present, almost all petrochemical refineries in Vietnam are supplied by Dung Quat oil refinery of PVN, with the rest coming from the Cat Lai refinery with a capacity of 2,000 barrels a day. Vietnam’s oil refining capacity could triple in the next five years, from 140,000 barrels per day in 2016 to xxx barrels per day by 2020, with two new refineries Nghi Son (200,000 barrels per day) and Vung Ro (160,720 barrels per day), scheduled to come into operation in 2017 and 2018. 

The demand for petrochemical products is high, but the domestic production capacity can not be met. According to the Vietnam Packaging Association (VIPAS), in recent years, the plastic packaging industry has also grown at an average annual growth rate of more than 25% since the growing of food industry. This will be the driving force for domestic petrochemical industry as demand grows.

Abbreviations
Executive Summary
1. Business environment
1.1 Macroeconomic situation
1.2 Legal Framework
1.3 Impacts of Free Trade Agreement
2. Global petrochemical industry
2.1 Introduction of petrochemicals
2.2 Process and production technology
2.3 Input materials
2.4 Production
2.5 Consumption
2.6 Import – Export
2.7 Price Movement
2.8 Situations in some typical countries
3. Vietnam petrochemical industry
3.1 History of the Vietnam petrochemical industry
3.2 Position of Vietnam petrochemical industry
3.3 Input materials
3.4 Production
3.5 Consumption
3.6 Import – Export
Export
Import
3.7 Price Movement
4. Risk analysis
4.1 Industry risk
4.2 SWOT analysis
5. Industry planning
5.1 Oil & gas industry planning
5.2 Petrochemical industry planning
5.3 Chemical industry planning
6. Outlooks and forecasts
6.1 Outlooks
6.2 Forecast
7. Enterprise analysis
7.1 Enterprises introduction
7.2 Financial analysis
Appendix of financial statements

Binh Son Refining and Oil Company Limited
Formosa Hung Nghiep Company Limited
TPC VINA Plastics and Chemicals Company Limited
AGC Vietnam Chemicals Limited Company
Vietnam Polystyrene Limited Company

List of figures
Figure 1: GDP growth rate by quarter, 2015 – 2017
Figure 2: GDP by current price and GDP per capita, 2013 – 2018
Figure 3: VND/USD exchange rates, 2015 – 2018
Figure 4: VND/CNY exchange rates, 2/2016 – 12/2017
Figure 5: FDI attraction by sector, 2018
Figure 6: World natural gas prices, 2012 – 2018
Figure 7: World oil supply, 2006 – 2018e
Figure 8: Oil supply 2017e by region
Figure 9: Natural gas production, 2010 – Q3/2017e
Figure 10: Structure of natural gas production in the world, 2016
Figure 11: World coal production, 2011 – 2016e
Figure 12: World coal reserves up to 2015
Figure 13: Monomer production structure, 2016
Figure 14: Naphtha consumption structure in the world, 2016e
Figure 15: Products obtained from naphtha distillation, 2015
Figure 16: Ethane consumption structure by region, 2016e
Figure 17: Product obtained from Ethane distillation, 2015
Figure 18: World production of petrochemicals, 2012 – 2022e
Figure 19: Production capacity of some basic* petrochemical products by region, 2015 – 2020e
Figure 20: Global ethylene production capacity, 2010 – 2016
Figure 21: Global ethylene production capacity by region, 2016e
Figure 22: Global Propylene production, 2010 – 2016
Figure 23: Structure of Propylene by region, 2016
Figure 24: Global Butadiene capacity and production, 2011- 2015
Figure 25: Butadiene production structure by country, 2015
Figure 26: Global benzene supply- demand, 2012 – 2017f
Figure 27: Global benzene production capacity, 2016 – 2019e
Figure 28: Global polymer production, 2009 – 2016e
Figure 29: Structure of polymer production by country 2016
Figure 30: Global Ethylene demand, 2010 – 2016
Figure 31: Production capacity and demand of ethylene by regions 2015
Figure 32: Application structure of ethylene in the production of plastic materials, 2016
Figure 33: Structure of ethylene dichloride consumption market, 2016
Figure 34: Global propylene demand, 2010 – 2016
Figure 35: Structure of propylene uses, 2015
Figure 36: Structure of global propylene consumption, 2013
Figure 37: Structure of propylene consumption, 2023e
Figure 38: Structure of butadiene consumption by product, 2018
Figure 39: Structure of global consumption of SBR by region, 2016
Figure 40: Structure of benzene usage in the world, 2015
Figure 41: Structure of VCM consumption by region, 2016e
Figure 42: Demand of Polymer consumption by region 2016
Figure 43: PP global consumption structure by country 2015
Figure 44: Structure of Polymer consumption by type, 2016
Figure 45: PE demand structure by region 2016
Figure 46: Structure Polymer consumption by field, 2015
Figure 47: Consumption of plastic per capita, 2015
Figure 48: The global ethylene export structure, 2016e
Figure 49: Global ethylene trade, 2011 – 2016e
Figure 50: The global ethylene import structure, 2016e
Figure 51: Global propylene exports, 2011 – 2016e
Figure 52: Global benzene exports, 2010 – 2020e
Figure 53: Structure of polymer export markets, 2016e
Figure 54: Structure of polymer import markets, 2016e
Figure 55: Global polymer export, 2012 – 2016e
Figure 56: PGPI World Index, 11/2016 – 11/2017
Figure 57: IPEX index of the world and the regions, 5/2007- 31/3/2017
Figure 58: Monomer price movement, 2/2016 – 1/2017
Figure 59: Global propylene price, 11/2016 – 11/2017
Figure 60: Global ethylene price, 11/2016 – 12/2017
Figure 61: Toluene price movement, 11/2016 – 11/2017
Figure 62: LDPE price movement, 11/2016 – 11/2017
Figure 63: Benzene price movement, 11/2016 – 11/2017
Figure 64: Paraxylene price movement, 11/2016 – 11/2017
Figure 65: Butadiene price movement, 1/2011 – 1/2017
Figure 66: Polymer price movement, 5/2015 – 9/2017
Figure 67: Polymer production output of Europe, 2011 – 2017f
Figure 68: Structure of polymer usage in Europe by sector, 2016
Figure 69: Polymer demand in Europe by country, 2016
Figure 70: Structure of polymer usage in Europe by type, 2016e
Figure 71: Polymer production in the United States, 2008 – 2016
Figure 72: Production and consumption of PVC in China, 2010 – 2025f
Figure 73: Production and consumption of Polyolefin of Malaysia, 2009 – 2013
Figure 74: Production and consumption of Polyolefin of Thailand, 2009 – 2013
Figure 75: Forecast of coal supply and demand, 2015 – 2030
Figure 76: Exploration ore reserves in 2014
Figure 77: Forecast of ore demand for fertilizer, 2015 – 2030
Figure 78: Natural gas consumption of Vietnam, 2010 – 2018
Figure 79: Crude oil consumption of Vietnam, 2010 – 2017e
Figure 80: Natural gas use structure, 2016e
Figure 81: Production and demand of LPG, 2009 – 2018
Figure 82: Structure of LPG consumption, 2016
Figure 83: LPG domestic supplier
Figure 84: Polymer production in Vietnam, 2010 – 2018
Figure 85: Polypropylene production outputs, 2010 – 9M/2018
Figure 86: Revenue structure of petrochemical consumer groups, 2016
Figure 87: Polypropylene demand, 2010 – 9M/2017
Figure 88: Polymer consumption in Vietnam, 2010 – 2018e
Figure 89: Structure of polymer consumption by application, Q2/2018e
Figure 90: Polymer export value, 2012 – 2018e
Figure 91: Export structure of polymer by value, 2018
Figure 92: Export structure of polymer by weight, 2018
Figure 93: Export structure of polymer by type, 2018
Figure 94: Export value of PP and PE, 2012 – 2017
Figure 95: Proportion of top 10 exporting enterprises of plastic materials 9M / 2017
Figure 96: Structure of PE export market, 6M/2017e
Figure 97: Structure of PP export market, 6M/2017e
Figure 98: Import of some aromatic compounds, 2013 – 6M/2017e
Figure 99: PE import market, 6M/2017e
Figure 100: Import structure of PE by type, 6M/2017e
Figure 101: PP import market, 6M/2017e
Figure 102: Polymer domestic price movement, 7/2016 – 6/2017
Figure 103: Forecasts for GDP growth and some industries, 2014 – 2018f
Figure 104: Growth of global PP and PE consumption demand, 2014 – 2019
Figure 105: Forecast of production capacity of PP and PVC, 2016 – 2021f
Figure 106: Net revenue, 2015 – 2016
Figure 107: Gross profit, 2015 – 2016
Figure 108: Gross profit margin, 2015 – 2016
Figure 109: Solvency, 2015 – 2016
Figure 110: Ability to repay, 2016
Figure 111: Total asset turnover, 2015 – 2016
Figure 112: Fixed asset turnover, 2015 – 2016
Figure 113: Costs of sales, 2015 – 2016
Figure 114: Enterprise cost management, 2015 – 2016
Figure 115: Profitability ratio, 2015 – 2016
List of tables
Table 1: Butadiene production capacity of some companies in the world
Table 2: Average monthly PGPI, 7/2017 – 11/2017
Table 3: Price movement of some of the global petrochemical products, 1/2017 – 11/2017
Table 4: Cost of ethylene production in the United State, 7/2015 – 1/2016
Table 5: Petrochemical refining projects are underway in Vietnam
Table 6: Petrochemical projects are expected to come into operation, 2018 – 2018
Table 7: Ability to produce domestically meets the needs of some polymers
Table 8: Production output of some other petrochemical products, 2012 – 2016e
Table 9: Top exporting enterprises of PE, 3M/2018e
Table 10: Top exporting enterprises of PP, 3M/2018e
Table 11: Import of some polymer, 2012 – 6M/2018e
Table 12: Proportion of top importing enterprises of plastic raw materials, 9M/2018
Figure 13: Top of PE importing enterprises, 3M/2018e
Figure 14: Top of PP importing enterprises, 3M/2018e
Table 15: Oil refinery projects, 2011 – 2020
Table 16: Forecast of demand for tires in Vietnam, 2013 – 2018f
Table 17: Capacity to produce some basic chemicals (Ethylene, Propylene, Methanol, Benzene, Paraxylene, Chlorine)
Table 18: Some petrochemical refining projects are being implemented in Vietnam, 2010 – 2020
Table 19: Top of large company in Vietnam petrochemical industry