VIETNAM DAIRY INDUSTRY

Dairy is an important and essential food but due to the high price compared to Vietnamese average income leading to the limitations in dairy’s expenses. Dairy’s spending accounts for 10% of the total food’s expenditure in Vietnam. Average GDP per capita growing constantly is the important factor boosting the dairy consumption.

The world’s dairy industry is highly concentrated. Total dairy consumption in developing countries is high, but consumption per capita is lower than in developed countries. In the first quarter of 2018, the dairy price fluctuated with two increases and three decreases, equivalent up 10.8% and down 2.3%.

In recent years, dairy sales in cities have not grown or kept negative growth, while dairy consumption in rural has been steadily growing at double digits. However, in the first quarter of 2018, total spending on dairy products in the whole market was lower than 5%. Especially, the negative growth in the quarter in cities was due to the fact that demand for powdered milk has not recovered.

Vietnam’s dairy production was forecast to increase by about 10% in 2017 and 2018. However, production of new raw milk only met 39-40% of domestic dairy demand, the rest depended on the import source. Dairy sales in Vietnam grew strongly from VND 42,000 billion in 2010 to more than xx, xxx billion in 2017, with an annual double growth rate of 11.7% in the period 2010-2017.

Powdered milk sales in 2017 were estimated to reach xx thousand billion dong, up 14.4% over 2016. According to VDA, powdered milk sales have continuously positively grown in the period 2017-2020. The turnover in 2018 is estimated at xx.x trillion.

Vietnam’s liquid milk market has an annual double growth rate of 22.4% in the period 2010 – 2017. Up to the first three months of this year, liquid milk sales reached VND xx.xx thousand billion, up 10.8% compared to the same period in 2017. Yogurt consumption in the first 3 months of 2018 reached about x.x billion, increasing by 10.7% over the same period last year.

 

 

Abbreviations
Executive Summary
I. Business environment
1. Macroeconomic situation
2. Legal framework
II. Global market
1. Dairy goods
III. Vietnam’s market
1. History of establishment and development
2. Production process
3. Production
4. Consumption
5. Import Export
6. Price
IV. Industrial development plan
V. Drivers of the dairy industry
VI. Enterprise Analysis
1. Enterprise introduction
2. Financial analysis

Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company (Vinamilk)
Nestlé Vietnam Company Limited
3A Nutrition Company Limited
NutiFood Nutrition Food Joint Stock Company in Binh Duong Province
Frieslandcampina Vietnam Company Limited
TH True Milk Joint Stock Company
Moc Chau Dairy Cattle Breeding Joint Stock Company
Mead Johnson Nutrition (Vietnam) Company Limited
International Dairy Products Joint Stock Company (IDP)
KIDO Frozen Food Joint Stock Company (KDF)

List of figures
Figure 1: GDP and dairy consumption per capita, 2001-2017e
Figure 2: Expenditure structure of Vietnamese people, 2017
Figure 3: Rate of urbanization in Vietnam, 2004 – 2017
Figure 4: Growth in urban and rural dairy consumption, 2010 – Q1 / 2018
Figure 5: Total population and populstion structure in working age period 2010-2017
Figure 6: Monthly CPI Fluctuation 2015 – 3/2018
Figure 7: Consumer confidence index by quarter, 2014 – Q2/2017
Figure 8: Retail sales of goods, 2010 – 9M/2017e
Figure 9: Dairy industry value chain and added value by stage
Figure 10: Fresh milk consumption per capita, 2008-2023f
Figure 11: Milk consumption per capita growth 2006 – 2025
Figure 12: Liquid milk trade, 2008-2023f
Figure 13: Top 10 largest export milk countries in the world by value, 2017
Figure 14: Global yogurt production value, 2000 -2017e
Figure 15: Structure of world yogurt consumption, 2015
Figure 16: Skimmed milk powder production and comsumption, 2011 – 2020f
Figure 17: Structure of skimmed milk powder production and consumption, 2017e
Figure 18: Skimmed Milk Powder Global Trade, 2011 – 2018f
Figure 19: Export structure, 2017e
Figure 20: Import structure, 2017e
Figure 21: Global WMP production and consumption, 2016 – 2020f
Figure 22: Production structure of WMP, 2017e
Figure 23: Comsumption structure of WMP, 2017e
Figure 24: Whole Milk Powder Global Trade, 2015 – 2020f
Figure 25: Export and import structure of WMP, 2017e
Figure 26: Global cheese production and comsumption, 2011 – 2018f
Figure 27: Cheese production structure, 2017e
Figure 28: Cheese consumption structure, 2017e
Figure 29: Export structure of cheese, 2017
Figure 30: Import structure of cheese, 2017
Figure 31: Cheese Global Trade 2011 – 2018f
Figure 32: Global butter production and consumption, 2011 – 2018f
Figure 33: Consumption structure of butter, 2017
Figure 34: Butter Global Trade 2011 – 2018f
Figure 35: Export structure of butter, 2017
Figure 36: Consumption of dairy products per capita, 2017
Figure 37: Price movement of milk and dairy products, 2010 – 3/2018
Figure 38: Number of enterprises and workers in the dairy industry, 2010 – 2016
Figure 39: Fixed asset value of dairy sector over the years, 2010 – 2016
Figure 40: Production volume of liquid milk, 2010 – 3M/2018e
Figure 41: Production volume of milk powder, 2010 –3M/2018e
Figure 42: Production of liquid milk and powdered milk by month, 2016 – 3M/2018
Figure 43: Consumption sales of Vietnam dairy industry, 2010 – 2017e
Figure 44: Milk consumption volume, 2008 – 2020f
Figure 45: Dairy industry’s sales, 2010 – 2017e
Figure 46: Dairy consumption per capita, 2008 – 2017f
Figure 47: Sales of powdered milk, 2006 – 2020f
Figure 48: Market share of powdered milk for kids, 2016
Figure 49: Sales of liquid milk, 2010 – 3M/2018e
Figure 50: Market share of liquid milk, 2016
Figure 51: Sales of yogurt, 2010 – 3M/2018e
Figure 52: Market share of yogurt by brand, 2017e
Figure 53: Market share of condensed milk, 2017e
Figure 54: Sales of condensed milk, 2010 – 3M/2018e
Figure 55: Import of milk and dairy products, 2010 – 3M/2018
Figure 56: Import structure of milk and dairy products by HS code, 2017
Figure 57: Import market for milk and dairy products, 3M/2018
Figure 58: Export of milk and dairy products, 2010 – 3M/2018e
Figure 59: Total population and birth rate over the years, 2010-2017
Figure 60: Net revenue, 2015 – 2016
Figure 61: Gross profit, 2015 – 2016
Figure 62: Gross profit margin, 2015 – 2016
Figure 63: Sales expenses, 2015 – 2016
Figure 64: Vinamilk’s sales and advertising expenses, 2010 – 2016
Figure 65: Sales expense structure of Vinamilk, 2016
Figure 66: Administrative expenses, 2015 – 2016
Figure 67: Total liabilities / Total assets, 2015 – 2016
Figure 68: Short-term Assets/Long-term Assets, 2015 – 2016
Figure 69: Solvency, 2015 – 2016
Figure 70: Profit Ratio, 2015 – 2016
List of tables
Table 1: Yogurt production in some areas, 2010 – 2015
Table 2: World’s top 5 biggest butter importing countries, 2016-2017
Table 3: Some brands of powdered milk in Vietnam
Table 4: Description of goods under the HS code
Table 5: Retail price of some powdered milk products for kids under six years old in 3/2018
Table 6: Development planning for dairy products to 2020, vision to 2025
Table 7: Indicators for performance efficiency, 2015 – 2016